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Philippe Waechter's Blog: The French economic cycle and economic policy ahead of the elections

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20.03.2017 | 16:40

Philippe Waechter's Blog: A dynamic and global overview of the economy

20th March 2017 - The French economic cycle and economic policy ahead of the elections

Since the 2008 financial crisis, trend growth has faltered in both the US and France, and currently stands at slightly over 1% in the US and slightly under 1% in France. Economists cannot agree on the factors that triggered this trend. However, economic policy recommendations to deal with the situation hinge on the ability to identify the driving forces behind it. There are three types of economic explanations.

You can find the latest blog from Philippe Waechter, Chief Economist of Natixis Asset Management, here.

The views expressed are those of the author(s) posting those views. They do not necessarily reflect the views of Natixis GlobalAsset Management ("NGAM") or any of its affiliated entities. The views and opinions expressed may change based on market and other conditions and are subject to change at any time, and there can be no assurance that developments will transpire as forecasted. The opinions and information referenced are dated as indicated and cannot be relied upon as current thereafter.

The investment management affiliates of Natixis Global Asset Management conduct any investment management activities only in and from the jurisdictions in which they are licensed or authorized. All U.S. investment management affiliates are registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and authorized to conduct investment

advisory services in the U.S. Natixis Asset Management is authorized by the Autorité des marches financiers and is licensed to provide investment management services in France and in the EU. Access to Natixis Global Asset Management's investment management affiliates varies from country to country.

This material may not be redistributed, published, or reproduced, in whole or in part, without the express permission of Natixis Global Asset Management.

Outside the United States, this communication is for information only and is intended for investment service providers or other Professional Clients. This material may not be redistributed, published, or reproduced, in whole or in part. Although Natixis Global Asset Management believes the information provided in this material to be reliable, it does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of such information. • In the EU (ex UK) This material is provided by NGAM S.A. or one of its branch offices listed below. NGAM S.A. is a Luxembourg management company that is authorized by the Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier and is incorporated under Luxembourg laws and registered under n. B 115843. Registered office of NGAM S.A.: 2, rue Jean Monnet, L-2180 Luxembourg, Grand Duchy of Luxembourg. France: NGAM Distribution (n.509 471 173 RCS Paris). Registered office: 21 quai d'Austerlitz, 75013 Paris. Italy: NGAM S.A., Succursale Italiana (Bank of Italy Register of Italian Asset Management Companies no 23458.3). Registered office: Via Larga, 2 - 20122, Milan, Italy. Germany: NGAM S.A., Zweigniederlassung Deutschland (Registration number: HRB 88541). Registered office: Im Trutz Frankfurt 55, Westend Carrée, 7. Floor, Frankfurt am Main 60322, Germany. Netherlands: NGAM, Nederlands filiaal (Registration number 50774670). Registered office: World Trade Center Amsterdam, Strawinskylaan 1259, D-Tower, Floor 12, 1077 XX Amsterdam, the Netherlands. Sweden: NGAM, Nordics Filial (Registration number 516405-9601 - Swedish Companies Registration Office). Registered office: Kungsgatan 48 5tr, Stockholm 111 35, Sweden. Spain: NGAM, Sucursal en España. Registered office: Torre Colon II - Plaza Colon, 2 - 28046 Madrid, Spain. •In Switzerland: Provided by NGAM, Switzerland Sàrl, Rue du Vieux Collège 10, 1204 Geneva, Switzerland or its representative office in Zurich, Schweizergasse 6, 8001 Zürich. • In the UK Approved for use by NGAM UK Limited, authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (register no. 190258). Registered Office: NGAM UK Limited, One Carter Lane, London, EC4V 5ER. • In the DIFC Distributed in and from the DIFC financial district to Professional Clients only by NGAM Middle East, a branch of NGAM UK Limited, which is regulated by the DFSA. Related financial products or services are only available to persons who have sufficient financial experience and understanding to participate in financial markets within the DIFC, and qualify as Professional Clients as defined by the DFSA. Registered office: Office 603 - Level 6, Currency House Tower 2, PO Box 118257, DIFC, Dubai, United Arab Emirates.• In Singapore: Provided by NGAM Singapore (name registration no. 53102724D), a division of Natixis Asset Management Asia Limited (company registration no. 199801044D). Natixis Asset Management Asia Limited is authorized by the Monetary Authority of Singapore and holds a Capital Markets Services License to provide investment management services in Singapore. Registered address of NGAM Singapore: 10 Collyer Quay, #14-07/08 Ocean Financial Centre, Singapore 049315.• In Taiwan This material is provided by NGAM Securities Investment Consulting Co., Ltd., a Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise regulated by the Financial Supervisory Commission of the R.O.C. and a business development unit of Natixis Global Asset Management. Registered address: 16F-1, No. 76, Section 2, Tun Hwa South Road, Taipei, Taiwan, Da-An District, 106 (Ruentex Financial Building I), R.O.C., license number 2012 FSC SICE No. 039, Tel. +886 2 2784 5777.• In Japan Provided by Natixis Asset Management Japan Co., Registration No.: Director-General of the Kanto Local Financial Bureau (kinsho) No. 425. Content of Business: The Company conducts discretionary asset management business and investment advisory and agency business as a Financial Instruments Business Operator. Registered address: 2-2-3 Uchisaiwaicho, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo. • In Hong Kong This document is issued by NGAM Hong Kong Limited and is provided solely for general information only and does not constitute a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell any financial products or services. Certain information included in this material is based on information obtained from other sources considered reliable. However, NGAM Hong Kong Limited does not guarantee the accuracy of such information. • In Australia: This document is issued by NGAM Australia Pty Limited (NGAM Aust) (ABN 60 088 786 289) (AFSL No. 246830) and is intended for the general information of financial advisers and wholesale clients only and does not constitute any offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities and no investment advice or recommendation. Investment involves risks. This document may not be reproduced, distributed or published, in whole or in part, without the prior approval of NGAM Aust. Information herein is based on sources NGAM Aust believe to be accurate and reliable as at the date it was made. NGAM Aust reserve the right to revise any information herein at any time without notice. • In Latin America This material is provided by NGAM S.A. • In Mexico: This material is provided by NGAM Mexico, S. de R.L. de C.V., which is not a regulated financial entity with the Comisión Nacional Bancaria y de Valores or any other Mexican authority. This material should not be considered an offer of securities or investment advice or any regulated financial activity. Any products, services or investments referred to herein are rendered exclusively outside of Mexico.• In Uruguay: This material is provided by NGAM Uruguay S.A., a duly registered investment advisor, authorised and supervised by the Central Bank of Uruguay. Registered office: WTC - Luis Alberto de Herrera 1248, Torre 3, Piso 4, Oficina 474, Montevideo, Uruguay, CP 11300. • In Colombia: This material is provided by NGAM S.A. Oficina de Representación (Colombia) to professional clients for informational purposes only as permitted under Decree 2555 of 2010. Any products, services or investments referred to herein are rendered exclusively outside of Colombia. ]

The above referenced entities are business development units of Natixis Global Asset Management S.A., the holding company of a diverse line-up of specialized investment management and distribution entities worldwide. The investment management subsidiaries of Natixis Global Asset Management conduct any regulated activities only in and from the jurisdictions in which they are licensed or authorized. Their services and the products they manage are not available to all investors in all jurisdictions.




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